“We are clearly entering an environment where many countries around the world will face much slower growth or even slide into recession. This is due to a combination of factors ranging from tighter monetary policy to higher energy costs to disruptions from the Ukraine war,” he said.
That World Bank on October 6 forecast a growth rate of 6.5% for the Indian economy for 2022-23, down a percentage point from June forecasts, citing the deteriorating international environment. “Under these circumstances, India will emerge as perhaps the strongest of all the world’s major economies, with a GDP growth rate of around 7% in the current fiscal year,” Sanyal said.
He stressed that the cumulative effect of the Modi government’s supply-side reforms over many years has meant that India’s economy is now much more flexible and resilient than it used to be.